Tuesday, November 4, 2008

Steve Ouellette
1 C. Paul NO
3 D. Williams Uta
7 C. Maggette GS
9 R. Foye Min
12 R. McCants Min
4 K. Durant OKC
6 D. Lee NY
10 A. Blatche Was
11 Ty Thomas Chi
2 Al Jefferson Min
5 A. Bynum LAL
8 A. Biedrins GS


The Good: FG% will be excellent plus blocks, rebounds & assists will be contending. Likely the best pair of points in Chris Paul & Deron Williams, particularly when you consider both are young with upside which exemplifies most of the roster - youthful talent that's been good and should get better.
The Bad: A surplus of turnovers and a lack of treys are the biggest obstacles to the Poets defending their JERBL crown in 2009. Other than Durant, the other 6 Vogon big men will be challenged to hit double digits in treys on the year - and that's cumulative, not apiece! Last year they had 4 combined. Luckily the guards shoot a lot, but Rashad McCants (12th) was the team leader from last year and his minutes look to be down with the return of Randy Foye for a whole season - luckily treys & MPTO help can easily be found on the free agent market, but as constructed those two categories could really weigh down the Poets aspirations for adding a 4th crown in 5 years.
The Ugly: 3 Timberwolves! Not 1, not 2, but 3! No team has ever won anything with 3 Timberwolves on the roster. It just can't happen - ask the Timberwolves themselves. Al Jefferson was good last year, but was he 2nd round good? He needs to continue to improve to justify that pick and the Trio of TimberPups on the roster.

Best Pick: Chris Paul (1st) - yah he was the one pick, but he was the right choice despite Deron Williams (3rd) also falling to the Poets thanks to his tweeked angle giving them the luxury of a dynamic pair of young points, at least when Deron plays again. Corey Maggette (7th) will be the man early in the year with Monta out and should thrive playing sans Dunleavy watching over his shoulder & w/Nelly urging him to shoot faster.

This Team Could Win if...At least one TimberPup is cut ASAP. Over the course of the year they find a way to address their MPTO & 3's issue w/o impacting the other 7 categories (easier said than done), the injury prone/injured stay/get healthy (DWilliams, Bynum, Foye & Paul are all critical), plus the young guys continue to improve so that Durant, Bynum, Lee & Beidrins all justify their draft slots. Could be the faves if they'd only drafted 1 more big man that could bust a trey...

Monday, November 3, 2008

Draft Review - Tm2

Dave Karpuszka
3 J. Calderon Tor
7 TJ Ford Ind
8 L. Barbosa Pho
11 JR Smith Den
12 N. Robinson NY
1 L. James Cle
4 R. Artest Hou
6 L. Aldridge Por
9 C. Villanueva Mil
2 M. Camby LAC
5 R. Wallace Det
10 N. Collison OKC


The Good: In Lebron we trust. Any fantasy team with LBJ has a puncher's chance that he decides it's time to crank it up a notch and take it to the next level in the regular season. Overall this team has excellent balance, although the biggest single strength is blocks. Likely will only score less than 5 in one category at most.
The Bad: Free Throw Percentage is the one achilles heel it would seem. Although if Lebron can crank it up at the line, much of this team's potential pitfalls go away.
The Ugly: Health! Camby (2), Artest (4) & TJ Ford (7) could all have Hospital wings named after them given their injury histories, well for Artest it's likely more an ultimate fighting ring. If these guys don't combine for 180 games, it'll be a problem.

Best Pick: Jose Calderon (3rd) was one of the gutsier picks in the draft as it was taking a guy betting on the exodus of TJ Ford from Raptor-Land would hugely increase his numbers, but the upside here is big and if it pays off could be why the Mooksters cash. LeMarcus Aldridge (6th) due to his upside & the key fact that this team desperately needed a 3rd center for when Camby is a DNP and Aldridge solves that at a reasonable cost with upside potential.

This Team Could Win if...Marcus Camby plays 70 games. That could be the whole key to the season - Marcus Camby's health. If he plays, he'll produce rebounds & blocks by the bucket full, if he doesn't...Ron Artest staying sane wouldn't hurt either, but Camby's the irreplaceable one if the goal is to win...

Draft Review - Tm3

Bret Hildebran
4 Kev Martin Sac
5 H. Turkoglu Orl
7 R. Rondo Bos
10 M. Ellis GS
12 L. Williams Phi
2 C. Butler Was
3 A. Jamison Was
6 G. Wallace Cha
8 S. Battier Hou
1 A. Stoudemire Pho
11 M. Gasol Mem
9 Ma. Williams Atl


The Good: Solid in all categories, but will only really dominate in Steals. Team has some youth which will be solid candidates for improvement along with some potential breakout candidates in Rondo, Louis Williams & Marvin Williams.
The Bad: Team is highly dependent on the somewhat spotty health records of their top 3 picks, Amare Stoudemire, Caron Butler & Antawn Jamison plus Gerald Wallace (6th). Should any of the big 3 falter and not hit 60 games, it could be perilous for this team's chances.
The Ugly: Team's weakest categories are blocks & rebounds where rookie Marc Gasol will carry most of the heavy lifting keeping them respectable plus assists where Hedo Turkoglu, picked by NBA TV during the draft as a highly overrated fantasy player, needs to at least maintain what he did last season.

Best Pick: Caron Butler (2nd), if healthy, was a steal as when he played last year, he compiled first round numbers (admittedly a "when he played" caveat is likely the biggest in all of Fantasy Sports). Monta Ellis (10th) was an injury bargain where if he comes back smoothly will be a major mid-season lift to the hopes of the Hammers.

This Team Could Win If...the Big 3 stay healthy, Monta Ellis returns near prior form, Marc Gasol is for real, Hedo doesn't regress & 1 of the younger players has a breakout campaign (Rondo, Louis Williams, or Marvin Williams).