Friday, October 31, 2008

Draft Review - Tm7

Matt Terry
G 4 M. Redd Mil
G 7 M. Bibby Atl
G 8 G. Arenas Was
G 10 E. Gordon LAC
G 12 R. Fernandez Por
F 1 D. Nowitzki Dal
F 3 C. Anthony Den
F 5 S. Jackson GS
F 6 L. Odom LAL
C 2 Yao Ming Hou
C 11 S. Hawes Sac
FC 9 F. Garcia Sac

The Good: Solid core of talent surrounded by potentially high upside guys. Team should bust the trey and be deadly from the line.
The Bad: Likely needs a lot of guys to come through with health: Yao, Redd, Bibby & Arenas; avoid sulking, Odom, SJax & Melo; or emerge as impact players, EGordon, Rudy Fernandez & Hawes. A few of those will happen, but this may be the highest risk team in the league.
The Ugly: Turnovers, assists & steals - too many of the former & not enough of the latter will be issues throughout the year. Team desperately needs Gilbert Arenas back and in full "Agent Zero" mode and not hobbling around on a bum league, something I'm not sure we'll ever see again despite all those millions the Wizards doled out in desperate hope.

Best Pick: Mike Bibby (7th) could be the big upside assist guy the team needs if he's healthy & settled in with the Hawks. Michael Redd (4th) is high upside value if he regains his former glory (and health) and Dirk Nowitzki (1st) was an excellent choice at 7.

This Team could win if ... Agent Zero gets healthy fast and reverts to '06-7 form when he led a team to the JERBL title, Yao plays 70-some games, Redd reverts to his 2nd round type form of the past and the team is generally healthy and catches some breaks on upside/attitude. The talent is there, but the odds of > half of it coming through this year aren't wonderful...

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